KOTOV.IN
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Mike Pence in action against the coronavirus.

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these big structural charts matter and they help inform about risk vs reward. Here's the updated chart

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Yup. "Destruction" sounds pretty permanent to me, too.


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This was the big picture chart I showed in the article above on suggesting a break of trend was coming..

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So far, Mike Pence is doing a terrible job with this coronavirus



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US Opening Calls: 26557 -1.51% 3070 -1.46% 8708 -1.87% 1532 -1.35% 3427 -2.45%


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+++DOW FUTS -400+++




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The S&P 500 level to watch today is 3,047.54 (that’s correction territory).


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Better for bulls now is a nasty gap down that closes green as opposed to an up gap that gets sold.


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WORST POSSIBLE SCENARIO IS AN EPS DECLINE OF 21% - RBC CAPITAL


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So far this week, Brent crude is down >11% just as the who's who of the energy trading community (reduced because of the coronavirus) gathers in London for the annual International Petroleum Week |


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This is the updated chart as of yesterday's close

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Fyi: This was the structural chart I showed in the article above suggestive of a repeat of the previous structures:

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S&P 500 Index ETF year-to-date: -3.3% 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: +11.4%


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Good thread from Gottlieb, who has been a voice of reason throughout this whole episode.



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US 10-year Treasury at a new all-time low of 1.2822%. It was 1.92% and the start of 2020.



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German government is mulling possible stimulus programme incase coronavirus epidemic hits German economy hard - Handelsblatt



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☎ Thoughts on this latest drop in and performance in the markets.

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GOLDMAN SACHS SAYS U.S. COMPANIES WILL GENERATE NO EARNINGS GROWTH IN 2020 IF CORONAVIRUS BECOMES WIDESPREAD

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GOLDMAN SACHS SAYS U.S. COMPANIES WILL GENERATE NO EARNINGS GROWTH IN 2020 IF CORONAVIRUS BECOMES WIDESPREAD Or just no earnings


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Pope 'slightly indisposed', cancels one event, Vatican says




drops to fresh three-week lows near 0.9700



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Energy update: Oil - US Crude 4756 -2.41% Oil - Brent Crude 5153 -2.42% Natural Gas 1779 -3.21% Heating Oil 14593 -2.54% Gasoline 15024 -3.64% London Gas Oil 442 -2.49%


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Protip: Purell.


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Tesla shares caught virus too




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Best Buy sees Q1 revs $9.1-9.2 bln vs $9.26 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

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Best Buy prelim Q4 $2.90 vs $2.67 S&P Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $15.2 bln vs $15.05 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; comps +3.2%

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BREAKING: Italy confirms 75 new cases of coronavirus and 2 new deaths; total of 528 cases and 14 deaths


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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt raised to $25 Virgin Galactic (SPCE) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $30




Vir Biotechnology ($VIR) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt $17




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Rite Aid ($RAD) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Guggenheim



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General Dynamics ($GD) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna; tgt $210




Fossil target lowered to $5 at Telsey Advisory Group following earnings


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40 PEOPLE RECOVERED FROM CORONAVIRUS IN ITALY


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TWO MORE PEOPLE DIE FROM CORONAVIRUS IN ITALY, BRINGING DEATH TOLL TO 14 -CIVIL PROTECTION STATEMENT



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Check out this weeks Crude Inventories Video wrap where we go over this weeks data for , , & Fuels Video: Have a great rest of the week. Enjoy!

EIA Weekly Crude Inventories Report - 21st Feb

In today's video we will be going over this weeks EIA Inventory Data: - Crude Oil Inventories - Gasoline Inventories - Distillate Inventories If ...

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[VIDEO]
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39,500 Twitter bots can't all be wrong. Thank you from all of us here at .


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this article is from Tuesday. Both the long and short options have played through with and breakouts. Meanwhile, down the drain, still in bull flag, for now

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Here's my Contagion basket. Pre-market, most of these are +30-100%. Nuts




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IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.94%, while traders in USD/CAD are at opposite extremes with 70.16%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:


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The mortality rate from Covid-19 in Iran has soared to over 13% -- significantly higher than any other country experiencing an outbreak of the pathogen.


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Japan's Prime Minister requests closure of all schools until April


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Saudi Arabia has suspended pilgrimages to Mecca and Medina for people outside the country over novel coronavirus fears.


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NO EU COUNTRY WANTS TO INTRODUCE BORDER CONTROLS AT INTERNAL EU BORDERS BECAUSE OF CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC - EU COMMISSION


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Please understand that is NOT the CAUSE of decline in Equity indices around the world. That decline was coming no matter what due to excessive debt levels and extreme valuation levels. Any apparent shock could tip the boat. Growth has been slowing for months!


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US 10yr 1.294%


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Buy the dip?



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breaks out, fresh four-month-highs. Currently caught at the October swing high.

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Virus stocks up 30-100% pre market



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Commodities Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.56% Gold: 0.36% Oil - US Crude: -1.99% View the performance of all markets via


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global equity futures continue to sell on virus fears that biggest economic shock since a decade ago is nearing



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THE FIRST CASE OF COVID-19 CONFIRMED IN BAGHDAD IRAQ : MINISTRY OF HEALTH


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TRUMP SAYS AT SOME POINT U.S. MAY RESTRICT TRAVEL FROM COUNTRIES BEYOND CHINA


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That moment when you realize month end brokerage statements are soon coming in the mail

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Forex Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.58% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.54% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.45% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.31% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.02% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.28% View the performance of all markets via


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HOW MANY RATE CUTS DO YOU WANT????

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back to support and hanging on for dear life...

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Permabears this week

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Indices Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: -1.19% US 500: -1.21% France 40: -2.41% Germany 30: -2.59% View the performance of all markets via


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This one word encapulates my last decade! I like to think i was early rather than wrong... very early!




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So most of you will already have been exposed to the derivatives of the virus that killed an estimated 50 million people in 1918/19 and has killed millions more since then (“1918 influenza: the mother of all pendemics”, Taubenberger and Morens, 2006)

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These viruses still circulate and are responsible for the seasonal influenza epidemics. The pandemic influenza of 1918/19 is the “mother” of all subsequent influenza pandemics and epidemics. It has been identified as the start of the current, third influenza pandemic cycle.

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The pandemic influenza virus of 1918/19 (H1N1) has since mutated (a process known as “antigenic drift”) into modern variants of H1N1 and been reassorted with other viruses resulting the creation of H2N2 (“Asian influenza” of 1956-58) and H3N2 (“Hong Kong influenza” of 1968-69).

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Remember in 2019 when everyone was like it’s not “less" it’s “fewer." Glad that’s behind us.


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Iran confirms total of 26 deaths: health ministry

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Traders are now fully pricing in a Fed rate cut at the central bank's April meeting and two more through the remainder of the year. That's still not enough to lift longer-term Treasury yields, which are hitting new record lows. Rate cut expectations from the WIRP function:

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PANDEMIC INFLUENZA in 1918/19 was unusual because it killed so many young adults around the age of 30, creating a W-shaped mortality curve, in contrast to a normal influenza outbreak, which kills mostly the very young and old, leading to a characteristic U-shaped mortality curve

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Bank of England's Cunliffe says we can see inflation pressures coming from UK labour market




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LIVE NOW! Currency Strategist discusses a wide range of topics with emphasis on psychology, trade execution, and risk management with the goal of helping traders improve performance here -



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100, and S&P 500 still unable to rally


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It is the end of the decade-long rally? Coronavirus may say „yes." MSCI All-Country Index has dropped >7% over 6d run, while S&P 500 fell 5th straight session for a total 8% decline RBC, Cantor, Citi talking about S&P 500 bear-mkt levels. (via )


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The virtuous cycle isn't looking great



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Responses from key Asia-Pac central banks post-: 🇨🇳 10bp cuts to 14-Day rev repo, MLF & 1-Yr LPR 🇯🇵 Unch. 🇦🇺 Unch. 🇳🇿 Unch. 🇰🇷 Unch. 🇸🇬 "Sufficient room to ease SGD," decision in April 🇲🇾 25bp cut (22 Jan) 🇹🇭 25bp cut 🇹🇼 Decision due in March 🇮🇩 25bp cut 🇵🇭 25bp cut



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UK mandate states that they will decide by June if a deal is possible before December deadline and will start no-deal preparations if an accord is not clear by June



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Russia has never had disagreement with Saudi on OPEC+ Russia is very satisfied with Saudi Arabia - Novak



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It sounds like advice for averting Wall Street deals: Don’t travel. Don’t meet clients. Don’t even shake hands. Yet those instructions are now flowing through the global financial industry as the coronavirus spreads.




Monetary Union Consumer Confidence meets forecasts (-6.6) in February


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Shenzhen prepares ban on eating cats and dogs after outbreak


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US dollar drops as markets believe the Fed will lower the rates on virus - Credit Agricole




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Precious Metals update: 1647 +0.39% 1804 +0.63% 918 +0.34% 2789 +0.13%



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Energy update: Oil - US Crude 4783 -1.86% Oil - Brent Crude 5181 -1.88% Natural Gas 1772 -3.59% Heating Oil 14638 -2.24% Gasoline 15090 -3.21% London Gas Oil 441 -2.6%


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German Auto Association states that they see a scenario of Chinese auto markets declining 7% amid the Coronavirus outbreak, previously saw a decline of 2%



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German Auto Association VDA Says We Also See Scenario Of Decline Of China Auto Market Of 7% Due To Coronavirus Outbreak, Previous F'cast Was Down 2%


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Hey guys, NEED YOUR HELP! Please vote for us ( podcast ) for the German Podcast Public Prize Award. JUST CLICK HERE...



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UK is said to be willing to trade on no-deal terms with EU if talks are to fail


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ICYMI! 's stock market plunged 7% yesterday as it confirmed the first in South America.


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LIVE IN 30 MIN: Currency Strategist discusses a wide range of topics with emphasis on psychology, trade execution, and risk management with the goal of helping traders improve performance here -


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TRUMP SAYS NO REASON TO PANIC ABOUT CORONAVIRUS


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THREE MORE COVID-19 DEATHS REPORTED IN IRAN - FARS


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“A third of Poland has now been declared an ‘LGBT-free zone’, making intolerance official.” Dangerous hatred spreading...


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And pornhub


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If you shorted VIX this week

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96-year-old woman remains in critical condition in Hong Kong, two more Coronavirus patients have been discharged - Hong Kong


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All time lows on the 10 year.

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If there are no tourists in Iceland, it may create another financial crisis on that beautiful island. As of 2016, the tourism industry is estimated to contribute about 10 percent to the Icelandic GDP


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Hit 1.289 in overnight, this may be a temporary low at least.

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Chairman of parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission Mojtaba Zonnour tests positive on . Zonnour who is representative of Qom in the parliament has confirmed this in a video message, saying he is now in quarantine.

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Japanese Prime Minister Abe tells all schools to shut down from March 2nd


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ALL SCHOOLS TO SHUT FROM MARCH 2 ON VIRUS - ABE - Buy Netflix


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fall to a fresh low, down more than 10% since the start of this year.


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The average global high yield spread is now 495 basis points. Still benign compared to the move we have seen in .


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Vienna confirms the case. OPEC+ in danger?


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Estonia reports first case of Coronavirus as well as Denmark, Georgia and Norway.


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Hong Kong is handing out $1,200 in cash to 7 million people



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still seen within the 1.2850/1.3030 range – UOB



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Switzerland reports two new cases of Coronavirus




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Once you step outside of the US markets and focus on ROTW (rest of the world), the situation looks even worse. Most markets have performed awfully since the Jan 2018 peak and are now breaking towards new 52-week lows.

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will resume oil supplies by pipeline to China in March - energy ministry


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Japan's biggest trading house, Mitsubishi Corp., to order about 4,200 employees to work from home from Feb. 28-March 15. That's their entire Japanese workforce.

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🇺🇸 Some comments on 10-Year Tsy yields: : Trading at levels consistent with global PMI at 49 (mega haven premium) : Does not trade through the Fed funds rate very often. When it has, it has typically been followed by significant Fed cuts.


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DOW TURNS GREEN - Gartman did it again


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US small caps index (Russell 2000 Index) is in a similar boat of underperformance. You could go all the way back to Q3 of 2017 and find a similar price. It is clear that this bull market has been driven by several Technology & hyper-growth disruptive names.

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Here is an interesting fact. Remove dividends and look at the price only. What you find is that the US large caps have not made any progress for two years now. Of course, this is Dow Jones Industrial so Nasdaq looks much better.

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"WHO DO YOU THINK YOU ARE? I AM!" 8 years ago today, a legendary moment was born.

[VIDEO]


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Virus rout continues as the outbreak spreadsto more countries. MSCI Euro down 2%.


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French president Macron arrives at hospital in Paris where a French national died from coronavirus.


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CHINA GIVES PRIORITY TO KEY COS. IN SUPPLY CHAIN TO RESUME. - that was quick


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MACAU TO RE-OPEN KARAOKE BARS - Damn it.

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Something to bear in mind about this market pullback is that is entirely driven by the Coronavirus. This also means that markets will rebound as soon as mass-vaccination blocks further proliferation. A cure might not come, but a vaccine should limit it.


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US10Y Yield 1.29%



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IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.79%, while traders in USD/CAD are at opposite extremes with 67.95%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:


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Bond king Jeff Gundlach claims that Bernie Sanders is responsible for the sell-out of the market – even if other experts cite the fear of corona viruses 2020


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Путин о мобильном телефоне: Мне комфортно, потому что я этим ничем не пользуюсь. У меня есть другие возможности просто. Мне проще снять трубку специальной связи и мне найдут любого абонента

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